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Morning Briefing

The Morning Briefing is prepared daily at the start of the European Trading session by RTFX’s trading desk. It presents a roundup of the major news headlines occurring within the global economy that may affect the forex market. This news bulletin also includes a view of our forex calendar for the day, highs and lows achieved in the previous sessions from the forex market, global indices and commodities and brief commentary about the economic headlines.

Morning Briefing for Tuesday, 17 Apr 2012 (Updated 09:20:23 CET)EZ auctions in focus; will BoC outlook suggest tightening?

What’s new:


Asia: Asian Equities mixed waiting for direction
RBA: Australian Central bank sounds dovish
EZ: Major Auctions today
BoC: Will outlook shift to a tightening bias?

Rates in Asia and Indices:


EURUSD: 1.3091 - 1.3142.
USDCHF: 0.9145 - 0.9183.
GBPUSD: 1.5863 - 1.5905.
EURJPY: 105.29 - 105.71.
USDJPY: 80.34- 80.55.
DowJones: 12'921.41 +0.56%
NASDAQ: 2'988.40  -0.76%
S & P 500: 1'369.57  -0.05%
Nikkei: 9'464.71  -0.06%
Shanghai: 2'334.29 -0.96%
Gold: $ 1'648.10
Crude Oil: $ 102.77

Comments:



US equities were mixed yesterday evening; as if lacking fundamental direction with focus remaining mostly in the Euro Zone situation. Similarly the Asian equity indices were also mixed and mostly skewed to the lower side.

In the Forex market while the USD and the JPY managed to attract larger support we see that the antipodean currencies (AUD and NZD) suffered the greater losses as RBA minutes overnight tended to suggest further easing of monetary policy. For the rest of the majors direction remained unclear – euro and Swissie only marginally lower while GBP and the CAD slightly in the favour.

Recent better employment data out of Canada have left its mark on the CAD as it attracts support ahead of the BoC today. While consensus still point towards the Canadian central bank remaining on hold, speculation that the BoC may be leaning towards a future tightening has so far helped the currency this morning.

The economic docket is relatively busy today but focus is likely to go to bond auctions out of the EZ later this morning. Spain is due to auction off up to 3 billion euro in 12 and 18-month bills; the EFSF shall be auctioning off another 2 billion euro in short term notes as well; but even Greece is expected to auction around 1.25 billion euro in 3-month notes.

Spanish 10-yr yields continued to make fresh highs as they closed at 6.0257% yesterday – levels last seen back at the end of November last year.

Later today we also have CPI data out of the EZ and the UK, and the BoC will be announcing its rate decision as well.


Good Day,


Rudolf Muscat - Senior Trader - RTFX Ltd.
Rudolf Muscat

Senior Trader - RTFX Ltd.

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Disclaimer

RTFX Ltd (“RTFX”) is licensed to conduct investment services business by the Malta Financial Services Authority. This information does not constitute an offer or solicitation and is provided for information purposes only. This information shall not be deemed to constitute advice and should not be relied on as such to enter into a transaction or for any investment decision. Any opinions expressed in this document represent the views of RTFX at the time of preparation. They are thus subject to change without notice. RTFX believes that the information contained herein is accurate as at the date of publication. However, no warranty of accuracy is given by RTFX and no liability in respect of any errors or omissions, including any third party liability, are accepted by RTFX or any director, officer or employee.

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