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Morning Briefing

The Morning Briefing is prepared daily at the start of the European Trading session by RTFX’s trading desk. It presents a roundup of the major news headlines occurring within the global economy that may affect the forex market. This news bulletin also includes a view of our forex calendar for the day, highs and lows achieved in the previous sessions from the forex market, global indices and commodities and brief commentary about the economic headlines.

Morning Briefing for Wednesday, 09 May 2012 (Updated 09:36:15 CET)Greece retains focus, Aussie continues to weaken

What’s new:


Asia: Asian and US equities remain in negative territory
Greece: Still unable to form a coalition government
Spain: Government expected to unveil banks’ plans on Friday
Forex: AUD/USD approaching parity, fresh 2012 lows
Forex: JPY still attracting support as carry trades unwind

Rates in Asia and Indices:



                              Low                High    Change
EUR/USD           1.2965           1.3008    -0.15 %
USD/CHF            0.9234          0.9263    -0.15 %
GBP/USD            1.6129          1.6163    -0.13 %
USD/JPY             79.72             79.94    0.10 %
EUR/CHF            1.2010          1.2013    0.00 %
EUR/JPY              103.4            103.94    0.27 %
Dow Jones          12810.39     13000.73    -0.58 %
Nasdaq                2587.53        2638.3    -0.35 %
S&P 500               1347.75        1369.16    -0.42 %
Nikkei 225            9021.2          9115.94    -1.48 %
Shanghai              2407.509    2432.472    -1.57 %
Gold spot              1587.23       1606.73    -0.67 %
Oil Future              96.35            97.39    -0.30 %
           

Comments:



While losses remained contained, US equities still did not manage to shrug off earlier losses. Asian equities could not do any better either, as investors remained in risk-off mode; major indices in Asia remained in negative territory.

Meanwhile Greek parties were still unable to form a coalition government and the fact that it is the Syriza leader who is currently attempting to form a coalition government does not help investor concerns either.  The Syrizas are very much seen as anti-bailout; the leader of the party has set a rejection for international bailouts as a pre-condition for a new coalition government.

Reuters announced that the Spanish Government is expected to unveil plans to help the Spanish banks on Friday.

The Aussie attracted the largest losses this morning, the AUD/USD keeps making fresh 2012 lows, closer to parity, as it slips to lows 1.0052 so far today. The Aussie remained pressured after comments by the treasurer left implied that balanced budget would leave more room for the RBA to cut interest rates.

Amongst the majors the Japanese Yen continues to attract support this morning and is so far the largest gainer. Most of the gains for the Yen come from against the commodity bloc currencies as carry unwind continues despite risks seemed to have consolidated.

USD/JPY has traded in the range of 79.71-79.94 and was so far unable to reclaim 80 levels. The pair’s decline should remain contained around 79.52 to possibly correct towards 80.24 – unless 79.33 is breeched.


Good Day,


Rudolf Muscat - Senior Trader - RTFX Ltd.
Rudolf Muscat

Senior Trader - RTFX Ltd.

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RTFX Ltd (“RTFX”) is licensed to conduct investment services business by the Malta Financial Services Authority. This information does not constitute an offer or solicitation and is provided for information purposes only. This information shall not be deemed to constitute advice and should not be relied on as such to enter into a transaction or for any investment decision. Any opinions expressed in this document represent the views of RTFX at the time of preparation. They are thus subject to change without notice. RTFX believes that the information contained herein is accurate as at the date of publication. However, no warranty of accuracy is given by RTFX and no liability in respect of any errors or omissions, including any third party liability, are accepted by RTFX or any director, officer or employee.

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