Morning Briefing
The Morning Briefing is prepared daily at the start of the European Trading session by RTFX’s trading desk. It presents a roundup of the major news headlines occurring within the global economy that may affect the forex market. This news bulletin also includes a view of our forex calendar for the day, highs and lows achieved in the previous sessions from the forex market, global indices and commodities and brief commentary about the economic headlines.
Morning Briefing for Tuesday, 05 Jun 2012 (Updated 09:23:28 CET)Investors raise hopes ahead of G7 talks
MORNING BRIEFING: Investors raise hopes ahead of G7 talks
What’s new:
Asia: Stocks up as G7 talks give some optimism to investors
AUD: RBA cut the cash rate by 25bps overnight
EUR/USD : Asia opening above the 1.2500 mark based on hopes for decisive actions from EZ policy makers
UK : Still on public holiday to celebrate the Queen Diamond Jubilee
Rates in Asia and Indices:
EURUSD: 1.2491 - 1.2542.
USDCHF: 0.9577 – 0.9615.
GBPUSD: 1.5373- 1.5408.
EURJPY: 97.86 – 98.27.
USDJPY: 78.46 – 78.28
DowJones: 12’101.46 -0.14%
NASDAQ: 2’760.01 +0.46%
S & P 500: 1’278.18 +0.01%
Nikkei: 8’382.00 +1.01%
Shanghai: 2’312.51 +0.17%
Gold: $ 1'618.10
Crude Oil: $ 84.64
Comments:
Overnight, the RBA has eased its overnight cash rate by 25bps to 3.5% despite that most economists were targeting a 50bps rate-cut. The central bank cited the economic weakness in Europe and more moderate China growth as the main reasons. After the news was released, the AUD/USD traded up to 0.9790 boosted by short-covering before easing to 0.9760.
With no new negative outcomes from the Eurozone, the EUR was able to consolidate higher as the currency was also helped by short-covering - most forex investors placed their bets on the G7 conference call later on today. Indeed, the EUR/USD traded above the 1.2500 mark in the Asian session with investors hoping for EZ policy makers to take decisive action in relation to the euro-area debt and banking crises.
Standard & Poor’s also released a report which attributed a one-in-three chance of Greece exiting the single currency. The news wasn’t a mover, as S&P also stated "that other sovereigns would be unlikely to follow any Greek exit".
The UK is still on holiday today as they celebrate the Queen’s diamond jubilee, but ahead of us today’s economic docket remains relatively busy as we expect amongst others EZ PMI Services & Retail Sales. Markets will also likely focus on the BoC Interest rate decision later today as well. The BoC is not expected to follow the RBA as it remains one of the least dovish central banks in the G10 environment.
From the United States we also have the US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI which should provide more direction ahead of Bernanke’s testimony next Thursday – there is mounting speculation for another round of Quantitative Easing.
Good Day,
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