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Forex analysis

In this section, RTFX’s trading desk offers an insight into the primary methods of analysing the Forex markets. All RTFX forex analysis is updated, as a very minimum, on a daily basis. However, some tools are updated with much greater frequency. This section consists of the Fundamental analysis and the Technical analysis sections.

Both technical and fundamental approaches may be considered independently and exclusive of each other, but it is increasingly becoming clear that decisions to act in the market should be a careful balance of both approaches; while also, naturally, keeping into perspective the time frame of the expected investment’s duration.

Fundamental analysis

In the Forex market fundamental analysis attempts to gauge the overall state of the economy, by evaluating, amongst others, factors such as interest rates, production, earnings, and investor confidence. Fundamental analysis attempts to determine the real value of a currency based on the condition of the factors underlying the respective economy.

Technical analysis

Technical analysis maintains that all information is already reflected in the price and that price movements lead to recognizable price chart patterns. It therefore tries to determine a trend on the grounds that sentiment changes may, at least in part, predict trend changes.

Weekly and Daily Forex Market commentaries

21st May 2012 at 15:38
 

Good news was difficult to find across the board for the world’s major economies last week. Spanish bonds closed above 6.2%, Greece still treading water, US manufacturing data disappointing, Chinese FDIs still on the retreat.

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21st May 2012 at 15:03
 

The Chicago Fed National Activity index for the month of April came out at 0.11 compared to the previous -0.44 (revised lower from previously stated -0.29) reported for March.

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21st May 2012 at 13:45
 

On the daily time frame price trading for the yellow metal continues in a triangular configuration. After the longer term rally that pushed price levels to all-time highs of $1921.17 last September - bullish momentum has eased and we have seen price mostly engaging in sideways trading.

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21st May 2012 at 12:00
 

According to the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission report published on Friday 18th May 2012, speculators have increased their net short position to 173,869 contracts, the highest on record.

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18th May 2012 at 14:42
 

Headline CPI for the month of April was out at 0.4% in line with previous but higher than the expected 0.3%. The Yearly equivalent was out at 2.0% also higher than the previous and expected 1.9%.

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18th May 2012 at 09:14
 

Producer Price Index (PPI) m/m came in at 0.2% compared to 0.6% previously and consensus for 0.3%.

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